For those interested in Risk Analysis and Risk Management, the name of David Vose is well-known. For those not knowing him, all I have to say is that he is the author of “Risk Analysis: A Quantitative Guide”, published by John Wiley & Sons publishing house. He is also the owner of Vose Consulting, the best company in risk analysis.
If you want a sample chapter of Vose’s “Risk Analysis”, here is an useful link:
http://www.voseconsulting.com/docs/Vose%20Book%20Excerpt%201.0-1.4%20v1.6.pdf
Many of his remarks apply also to Ethics & Compliance risks. My “Handbook for Ethics & Compliance Officers, Part 2: Internal Audit Techniques” already contains a section dedicated to this topic, where some consideration is given to Vose’s contribution to the field of Risk Analysis.